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Projecting demand for long-term care for elderly people
Author(s)Raphael Wittenberg
Journal titlePSSRU Bulletin, no 11, February 1999
Pagespp 5-11
KeywordsServices ; Nursing homes ; Care homes ; Long term ; Consumer demand ; Public expenditure ; Mathematical models.
AnnotationHow many older people are likely to require long-term care services in the next decade? How much are these services likely to cost? Will the cost to public funds be affordable? These questions are answered in the report, "Demand for long-term care: projections of long-term care finance for elderly people" (Personal Social Services Research Unit - PSSRU, 1988). This article outlines the report's findings and the development and use of a computer simulation model which includes domiciliary services and institutional care. The report sets out a range of different projections obtained by using the model, which have been forwarded to the Royal Commission on Long Term Care. PSSRU intends to continue to develop the model and to use it to inform policy. (RH).
Accession NumberCPA-990824245 A
ClassmarkI: LHB: KW: 4Q: WYD: WN8: 3LM

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