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Centre for Policy on Ageing | |
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| The demography of centenarians in England and Wales | | Author(s) | Roger Thatcher |
| Journal title | Population Trends, no 96, Summer 1999 |
| Pages | pp 5-12 |
| Keywords | Centenarians ; Demography. |
| Annotation | The largest single cause for the increase in the number of centenarians has been the falling trend in death rates at very high ages (over 80) since the 1940s and 1950s. This trend is expected to continue. The Government Actuary projects that the number of centenarians in England and Wales will rise from 6,000 in 1996 to reach 39,000 in 2036. Projections made for this article suggest a further rise to 95,000 in 2066. The author uses a new database (currently held at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock, Germany, where it can be identified for reference as the Kannisto-Thatcher database) to investigate the causes of the "explosion" in the numbers of centenarians. The latest official projections for the future are examined, and their implications for the highest ages which are likely to be attained. Annexes explain the data and sources, and how their use results in differing estimates of the numbers of centenarians being reached. (RH). |
| Accession Number | CPA-990823002 A |
| Classmark | BBT: S8 |
Data © Centre for Policy on Ageing |
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| ...from the Ageinfo database published by Centre for Policy on Ageing. |
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