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Self-rated health and adverse health outcomes
 — an exploration and refinement of the trajectory hypothesis
Author(s)Fredric D Wolinsky, William M Tierney
Journal titleThe Journals of Gerontology Series B: Psychological sciences and social sciences, vol 53B, no 6, November 1998
Pagespp S336-S340
KeywordsHealth [elderly] ; Long term ; Ill health ; Death ; Attitude ; Social surveys ; United States of America.
AnnotationTo examine the hypothesis that the relationship between poor self-rated health and adverse health outcomes simply reflects self-assessments of declining health trajectories rather than current health status, a 12-month follow-up of 786 disadvantaged adults aged 50-99 years old was conducted. Baseline markers of poor self-rated health and declining health trajectory were used to predict 12-month follow-up reports of the expectations of being hospitalised within 1 year, being placed in a nursing home within 5 years, and dying within 10 years. Hierarchical multivariate logistic regression was used with poor self-rated health entered first, standard epidemiological co-variates next, and declining health trajectory last. Poor self-rated health was not independently associated with expectations for being hospitalised, but declining health trajectory independently increased the risk of such expectations by 65-88%. Nether poor self-rated health nor declining health were independently associated with expectations for being placed in a nursing home, but both were independently associated with expectations for dying, increasing such expectations by 70-105%. The effects described appear to be independent and complementary. (RH).
Accession NumberCPA-990304011 A
ClassmarkCC: 4Q: CH: CW: DP: 3F: 7T

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