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Planning for the future
 — the effect of changing mortality, incidence, and recovery rates on life expectancy with visual disability
Author(s)Carol Jagger, Neil Raymond, Kevin Morgan
Journal titleJournal of Aging and Health, vol 10, no 2, May 1998
Pagespp 154-170
KeywordsHealth [elderly] ; Physical disabilities ; Visual impairment ; Mobility ; Quality of life ; Life expectancy tables ; Measurement ; Longitudinal surveys ; United Kingdom.
AnnotationHealth expectancy measures incorporating mortality and morbidity may better determine the future needs of older people than current methods solely using mortality rates. Life expectancy with and without visual disability was calculated from two United Kingdom (UK) longitudinal studies of older people: The Nottingham Longitudinal Study of Activity and Ageing (NLSAA) and The Melton Mowbray Ageing Project (MMAP). Various scenarios of changing input transition rates were then explored. Findings showed that women had a greater probability of transition to disability. Increases in incidence had a larger impact for women than for men on resulting life-years with visual disability, reducing the proportion of remaining disability-free life by 2.1%. When mortality continued to decrease but incidence increased and recovery decreased, there was an increase in life expectancy, although for women this was offset by an even greater increase in years spent with visual disability. The study concluded that health expectancy calculated from longitudinal data may be useful in exploring potential future variations in incidence, treatment, and mortality rates and their effect on population health. (AKM).
Accession NumberCPA-980721402 A
ClassmarkCC: BN: BR: C4: F:59: S7: 3R: 3J: 8

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