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Centre for Policy on Ageing | |
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| National population projections, 2014-based Statistical Bulletin | | Corporate Author | Office for National Statistics - ONS |
| Publisher | Office for National Statistics, 29 October 2015 |
| Pages | 24 pp (Statistical Bulletin) |
| Source | Download at: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/npp/national-populat... |
| Keywords | Population statistics. |
| Annotation | This bulletin presents the main findings from the 2014-based national population projections for the UK and its constituent countries, which are based on the population at 30 June 2014. It also gives detail on the assumptions made for the projections, and how these assumptions were developed. The UK population is projected to reach 70 million by mid-2027; and over the ten year period to mid-2024, the UK population is projected to increase by 4.4 million to 69 million. This is 249,000 higher than the previous (2012-based) projection for that year. The UK population is projected to increase by 9.7 million over the next 25 years from an estimated 64.6 million in mid-2014 to 74.3 million in mid-2039. Assumed net migration accounts for 51 per cent of the projected increase over the next 25 years; natural increase (more births than deaths) accounts for the remaining 49 per cent. The population is projected to continue ageing with the average (median) age rising from 40.0 years in 2014 to 40.9 years in mid-2024 and 42.9 by mid-2039, by when, more than one in twelve of the population is projected to be aged 80 or over. The number of people aged 75 and over is projected to rise by 89.3%, to 9.9 million, by mid-2039. The number of people aged 85 and over is projected to more than double, to reach 3.6 million by mid-2039; and the number of centenarians is projected to rise nearly six-fold, from 14,000 at mid-2014 to 83,000 at mid-2039. These projections replace the 2012-based projections published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) in November 2013. Other interactive bulletins (for population pyramids and variant projections) are also available at the download link. Separate releases for individual countries are also published by National Records for Scotland, the Northern Ireland Research and Statistics Agency, and Welsh Government statistics. (RH). |
| Accession Number | CPA-151030005 E |
| Classmark | S4 |
Data © Centre for Policy on Ageing |
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| ...from the Ageinfo database published by Centre for Policy on Ageing. |
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