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Exploratory analysis of seasonal mortality in England and Wales, 1998 to 2007
Author(s)Gary Brown, Vanessa Fearn, Claudia Wells
Journal titleHealth Statistics Quarterly, no 48, Winter 2010
Pagespp 58-80
Sourcehttp://www.statistics.gov.uk/hsq/
KeywordsWeather conditions ; Death rate [statistics] ; England ; Wales.
AnnotationReports research carried out to inform possible methods of describing seasonal mortality in relation to extremes of temperature. Daily and monthly Central England Temperatures for 1998 through to 2007 were supplied by the Met Office Hadley Centre and daily death occurrence data between 1993 and 2007 was extracted from the death registrations database held by the Office for National Statistics (ONS). Five days with statistically significant excess mortality were identified between these dates, the largest being on 31 December 1999. Three of the five days coincided with extremely hot weather occurring in August 2003 and July 2006. However, more extreme temperatures were seen on some days with no excess mortality. Concludes that there is a weak but significant relationship between temperature in both the summer and winter months, although daily mortality cannot be predicted from temperature alone. The prevalence of other factors such as influenza in winter and air pollution in summer should also be considered. (JL).
Accession NumberCPA-110308005 A
ClassmarkR4: S5: 82: 9

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