Centre for Policy on Ageing
 

 

The future ageing of the ethnic minority population of England and Wales
 — older BME people and financial inclusion report
Author(s)Nat Lievesley
Corporate AuthorCentre for Policy on Ageing - CPA; Runnymede Trust
PublisherRunnymede and Centre for Policy on Ageing, London, July 2010
Pages61 pp
SourceDownload available at: http://www.cpa.org.uk/information/reviews/reviews....
KeywordsEthnic groups ; Population statistics ; Demography ; England ; Wales.
AnnotationThis report, estimating the future older Black and minority ethnic population (BME), is part of a three-year Runnymede research programme on financial inclusion among older BME people funded by the Nationwide Foundation. Following an introduction on alternative projection methods, the report looks at the ethnic minority population of England and Wales 2007-10 and its age structure in 2007-12. Next, mid-year population estimates for 2001-2007 from the Office for National Statistics (ONS) are used to extrapolate and derive ethnic population projections to 2026. The elements of ethnic minority cohort component population projection are examined, namely fertility, mortality, migration and transgenerational transfer. Next, starting from a base of the 2001 Census, ethnic minority cohort component population projections for 2016, 2026 and 2051 are made; these rely on assumptions previously made about fertility, mortality and migration. Population pyramids, tables and charts illustrate the likely composition of each ethnic group for these dates. Projections are made for the older ethnic minority population by age group (from age 50+) for every five years from 2001 to 2051. While the projections of ethnic minority numbers in this report are projections and not predictions, according to the author, by 2051, there will be 7.3 million ethnic minority residents of England and Wales aged 50+, with 3.8 million aged 65+, 2.8 million aged 70+, and more than a quarter of a million (259,000) aged 85+. However, given the large variation in the distribution of this population, this raises important issues for policy-makers and planners in those localities with greater concentrations. (RH).
Accession NumberCPA-100720001 E
ClassmarkTK: S4: S8: 82: 9

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