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Centre for Policy on Ageing | |
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| The impact of a tightening fiscal situation on social care for older people | | Author(s) | Julien Forder, José-Luis Fernández |
| Corporate Author | Personal Social Services Research Unit - PSSRU, London School of Economics and Political Science - LSE; Age UK |
| Publisher | Personal Social Services Research Unit - PSSRU, May 2010 |
| Pages | 8 pp (PSSRU Discussion paper 2723) |
| Source | Download: www.pssru.ac.uk/pdf/dp2723.pdf |
| Keywords | Services ; Usage [services] ; Public expenditure cuts. |
| Annotation | In the current difficult fiscal climate, a cut in funding for social care seems likely. What are the consequences for the numbers of people, according to the severity of their need, who would lose council funding support if budgets were cut? This report assesses the effects of a 6.7% per annum real terms reduction in the total available for social care in the two years after 2010/11 (i.e. to 2012/13). This reduction figure comes from projections made by the Institute for Fiscal Studies (IFS) Green Budget (January 2010). Analysis is based on the PSSRU dynamic micro-simulation model (Forder and Fernández, 2009), which makes projections about the social care system for the future based on assumptions concerning population, disability, pensioner income and assets, service costs and informal care. The authors conclude that the reduction in state expenditure would lead to an increase of 23% in the volume of people with social care needs but no services. Their modelling suggests that a reduction in public support would prompt more people to pay privately for care and/or to seek informal care. They also assume that expenditure is managed by raising eligibility thresholds (which has been done by councils in recent years). Although such a policy results in unmet needs, it would provide protection to the poorest people (rather than to the neediest). (RH). |
| Accession Number | CPA-100622001 E |
| Classmark | I: QLD: WN8:5YD * |
Data © Centre for Policy on Ageing |
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| ...from the Ageinfo database published by Centre for Policy on Ageing. |
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