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Fertility assumptions for the 2006-based national population projections
Author(s)Julie Jefferies
Journal titlePopulation Trends, no 131, Spring 2008
Pagespp 19-27
Sourcehttp://www.statistics.gov.uk
KeywordsPopulation statistics ; Demography ; The Family.
AnnotationFertility is one of the key components of the national population projections alongside mortality and migration. For the 2006-based population projections, long-term family-completed size in the UK is assumed to be 1.84 children per woman. This represents an increase of 0.10 on the assumption of 1.74 children per woman used in the 2004-based round. Though the UK's long-term fertility assumption has been lowered several times in recent years, this is the first time it has ben raised since the 1960s baby boom. This article outlines why the Office for National Statistics (ONS) decided to use the long-term fertility assumption for all four UK countries in the 2006-based population projections. (RH).
Accession NumberCPA-080409002 A
ClassmarkS4: S8: SJ

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