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Future long-term care expenditure in Germany, Spain, Italy and the United Kingdom
Author(s)Adelina Comas-Herrera, Raphael Wittenberg, Joan Costa-Font
Journal titleAgeing and Society, vol 26, part 2, March 2006
Pagespp 285-302
Sourcehttp://www.journals.cambridge.org/jid_ASO
KeywordsServices ; Health services ; Long term ; Expenditure [care] ; Consumer demand ; Comparison ; Germany ; Spain ; Italy ; United Kingdom.
AnnotationFindings are reported from the European Study of Long-Term Care Expenditure, a European Union (EU) funded study. This has investigated factors that are likely to affect future expenditure on long-term care services in Germany, Spain, Italy and the United Kingdom (UK). Macro-simulation (or cell-based) models were used to make comparable projections based on a set of common assumptions. The paper investigates the sensitivity of these projections to variant assumptions about future trends in life expectancy, trends in functional dependency, trends in the future availability of informal care, and trends in unit costs of services. The project also investigated the sensitivity of the projections to other factors, such as the trends in the structure of formal long-term care services and patterns of provision. The projected future demand for long-term care services for older people is sensitive to assumptions about the future number of older people, the prevalence of dependency, and the availability of informal care. For the purposes of planning, it is important to recognise the considerable uncertainty about future levels of long-term care expenditure. (RH).
Accession NumberCPA-060314207 A
ClassmarkI: L: 4Q: QD: WYD: 48: 767: 76S: 76V: 8

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