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The cohort effect: insights and explanations
 — presented to the Faculty of Actuaries, 15 March 2004, and to the Institute of Actuaries, 26 April 2004
Author(s)R C Willets
Corporate AuthorFaculty of Actuaries; Institute of Actuaries
PublisherInstitute of Actuaries, London, 2004
Pages45 pp
SourceInstitute of Actuaries, Staple Inn Hall, High Holborn, London WC1W 7QJ. Website: www.actuaries.org.uk
KeywordsDeath rate [statistics] ; Tobacco smoking ; Age group distribution statistics ; Demography ; Mathematical models ; Japan.
AnnotationThere are a number of reasons to believe that the UK "cohort effect" will have an enduring impact of rates of mortality improvement in future decades. These include historical patterns of smoking behaviour, and the impact of early life experiences on health in later life. This report discusses methods of graphical presentation, and insights into the cohort effect are sought from epidemiology, social science and demography. A case study examining the Japanese mortality experience shows that strong cohort trends can be projected well into old age. Throughout this paper, the author uses the term "mortality improvement", to signify the reduction in the rate of mortality for a given age from one year to the next. (RH).
Accession NumberCPA-040607001 B
ClassmarkS5: ETT: S6: S8: 3LM: 7DT

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