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Centre for Policy on Ageing | |
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Traffic-related fatalities among older drivers and passengers past and future trends | Author(s) | Michel Bédard, Michael J Stones, Gordon H Guyatt |
Journal title | The Gerontologist, vol 41, no 6, December 2001 |
Pages | pp 751-756 |
Keywords | Road accidents ; Driving capability ; Death rate [statistics] ; Longitudinal surveys ; United States of America. |
Annotation | About 35,000 drivers and passengers died in traffic crashes in the US each year from 1975 to 1998. This study was initiated to forecast the number of older drivers and passengers who may be fatally injured in traffic crashes in future years, based on data from the US Fatality Analysis Reporting System (FARS) covering the period from 1975 to 1998. Projections were based on least squares regression models. Older people (age 65+) accounted for 10% of all fatalities in 1975, and 17% in 1998. By 2015, this is projected to be 27%, the same proportion predicted for drivers and passengers aged under 30. On the basis of these projections, the number of fatally injured women and men aged 65 and older will increase respectively by 373% and 271% between 1975 and 2015. If current trends continue, the numbers of driver and passenger fatalities among those aged 65+ are likely to be similar to those of under 30s early in this century. These projections call for further research into conditions that may lead to crashes involving older drivers, and for the development and implementation of initiatives to curb traffic-related fatalities among older people. (KJ/RH). |
Accession Number | CPA-020130205 A |
Classmark | OP: OPF: S5: 3J: 7T |
Data © Centre for Policy on Ageing |
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...from the Ageinfo database published by Centre for Policy on Ageing. |
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