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Demand for long-term care for older people in England to 2031
Author(s)Raphael Wittenberg, Linda Pickard, Adelina Comas-Herrera
Journal titleHealth Statistics Quarterly, no 12, Winter 2001
Pagespp 5-17
KeywordsServices ; Domiciliary services ; Nursing homes ; Care homes ; Long term ; Costs [care] ; Public expenditure ; Mathematical models.
AnnotationHow best to finance long-term care has been the subject of considerable recent debate. One reason is that the numbers of people aged 65 and over are projected to increase by 60% over the next 35 years. The Personal Social Services Research Unit (PSSRU) has developed a model to make projections of demand for long-term care for older people to 2031. This article outlines the methodology and results of the model. PSSRU projections suggest that, under central assumptions, long-term care expenditure will need to rise by some 150% in real terms over the next 30 years to meet demand. (RH).
Accession NumberCPA-011127207 A
ClassmarkI: N: LHB: KW: 4Q: QDC: WN8: 3LM

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