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Centre for Policy on Ageing | |
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Relying on informal care in the new century?
— informal care for elderly people in England to 2031 | | Author(s) | Linda Pickard, Raphael Wittenberg, Adelina Comas-Herrera |
| Journal title | Ageing and Society, vol 20, pt 6, November 2000 |
| Pages | pp 745-772 |
| Keywords | Informal care ; Family care ; Services ; Long term ; Mathematical models. |
| Annotation | The future of informal care over the next thirty years, and the effect of changes in informal care on demand for formal services are examined. This research draws on a Personal Social Services Research Unit (PSSRU) computer simulation model, which has produced projections to 2031 for long-term care for England, using the latest Government Actuary's Department (GAD) 1996-based marital status projections. These projections yield unexpected results: they indicate that more older people are likely to receive informal care than previously projected. The underlying reason is that the GAD figures project a fall in the number of widows and rise in the number of older women with partners, implying that 'spouse carers' are likely to become increasingly important. This raises issues about the need for support by carers, since spouse carers tend to be themselves old and often in poor health. The article explores a number of 'scenarios' around informal care, from a severe restriction in the supply of informal care, to a scenario in which more support is given to carers by developing 'carer-blind' services. This last scenario is of particular relevance for the Royal Commission on Long Term Care. (KJ/RH). |
| Accession Number | CPA-010319205 A |
| Classmark | P6: P6:SJ: I: 4Q: 3LM |
Data © Centre for Policy on Ageing |
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| ...from the Ageinfo database published by Centre for Policy on Ageing. |
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