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Disability trends among elderly persons and implications for the future
Author(s)Timothy A Waidmann, Korbin Liu
Journal titleJournals of Gerontology: Series B, Psychological Sciences and Social Sciences, vol 55B, no 5, September 2000
Pagespp S298-S307
KeywordsMemory and Reminiscence ; Needs [elderly] ; Long term ; Longitudinal surveys ; United States of America.
AnnotationThe 1992-1996 US Medicare Current Beneficiary Survey was used to examine time trends in rates of activities of daily living (ADLs) and instrumental activities of daily living (IADLs) disability and physical limitations among Medicare beneficiaries aged 65 and over. Multinomial logit and least squares regression techniques were used to produce trend estimates that held the age, sex, race, and educational distributions constant, and projected these trends into the future. The potential impact of disability decline on per capita Medicare spending on older people was also estimated. Disability among older people was found to be declining; and the trend towards a more educated older cohort explains some, but not all, of this decline. In the absence of downward disability trends, per capita Medicare expenditures would have grown even faster than they have. Although decline in the prevalence of disability in recent years appears real, whether it continues has enormous implications for the size of the disabled population in the future, and for society's ability to care for its disabled older members. (RH).
Accession NumberCPA-001123215 A
ClassmarkDB: IK: 4Q: 3J: 7T

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