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Centre for Policy on Ageing | |
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| Population projections or Japan: methods, assumptions and results | | Author(s) | Shigesato Takahasi, Ryuichi Kaneko, Akira Ishikawa |
| Corporate Author | National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, Japan |
| Journal title | Review of Population and Social Policy, no 8, 1999 |
| Pages | pp 75-118 |
| Source | National Institute of Population and Social Security Research, 1-2-3 Kasumigaseki, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-0013, Japan. |
| Keywords | Demography ; Population statistics ; Life expectancy tables ; Japan. |
| Annotation | The National Institute of Population and Social Security Research officially announced a new round of population projections for Japan in January 1997. This article outlines the projection results and describes the methods used to obtain them. The projections,made following the release of 1995 census data, provided three variants based on three different scenarios of fertility prospects: medium, high and low fertility variant projections. According to the medium projection, the population of Japan will increase from 125.6 million in 1995 to a peak of 127.8 million in 2007, followed by a constant decrease to 100.5 million in 2050. The proportion aged 65 and over will expand from 14.6% in 1995 to 32.3% in 2050. This article explains how the fertility and mortality prospects were provided from the projections as well as the results of analyses on which the prospects were based. (AKM). |
| Accession Number | CPA-000322206 A |
| Classmark | S8: S4: S7: 7DT |
Data © Centre for Policy on Ageing |
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| ...from the Ageinfo database published by Centre for Policy on Ageing. |
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